Statistical Noise or Basketball Truth?
Monday, June 21, 2010
Chasing the Title reports the following line-up plus-minuses for the Fever vs. Storm game:
Top Fever Lineups
January-Zellous-Douglas-Moore-Davenport: +10
Bevilaqua-Douglas-Catchings-Sutton-Hoffman: +6January-Douglas-Catchings-Moore-Davenport: +4
The Fever used 12 unique lineups in this game with only four generating a positive value for the team. Two of them stood out as particularly ineffective.
January-Zellous-Catchings-Moore-Davenport: -6January-Douglas-Catchings-Sutton-Hoffman: -4
Rearranging:
Bevilaqua-Douglas-Catchings-Sutton-Hoffman: +6
January-Douglas-Catchings-Sutton-Hoffman: -4
January-Zellous-Douglas-Moore-Davenport: +10
January-Zellous-Catchings-Moore-Davenport: -6
Essentially, this suggests that
- Bevilaqua in with the starters was great, January in with the starters stunk.
- Douglas in with the reserves worked best but Catchings in with the reserves was disaster.
Does the bench need Douglas' scoring more than Catchings' defense? Possibly!
